A glass of coffee, in the round. Drag to orbit, scroll to zoom. The glass is sealed, so the cream in it is conserved.
Entropy is bits per coarse box, at most one. Apparent complexity is the Lempel-Ziv parse of the same boxes, divided by what a random cup would give. Both are measured, neither is rescaled.
the cup is being measured, the curves start in a moment
Sean Carroll uses a cup of coffee with a splash of cream as the cleanest everyday picture of the second law of thermodynamics. The unmixed cup is ordered and improbable; left alone, or stirred, it drifts toward the overwhelmingly more numerous mixed configurations. That drift is the increase of entropy.
To put a number on it we coarse-grain: bin the cup into boxes and, for each box, take the cream fraction and its binary Shannon entropy. The entropy of the cup is the average over boxes. It is low when each box is nearly pure coffee or pure cream, and maximal when every box sits at a fifty-fifty mix.
Entropy is defined relative to the coarse-graining. The grid is the observer, and you can move it: the coarse-graining slider is the single most important control in the panel.
Entropy climbs monotonically, but the cup does not get more interesting to look at the whole way. Watch the three stages: cream layered on coffee (simple), then a moment of intricate filaments and tendrils (complex), then a flat uniform brown (simple again). The interesting structure lives in the middle.
Aaronson, Carroll and Ouellette measure that middle by compressing the picture: the apparent complexity of a frame is the size of the coarse-grained image once a compressor has had a go at it. A layered cup compresses well because it is two flat blocks. A uniform cup compresses even better because it is one flat block. The filaments in between are what a compressor cannot summarise.
Here that compressor is the Lempel-Ziv parse. Count the distinct phrases LZ76 finds in the coarse-grained, quantised field, and divide by the length a random field of the same size would give. It is deterministic, it needs no compression library, and it has exact known values on degenerate inputs, which is what lets the calibration check it.
Entropy goes up and stays up. Apparent complexity goes up and comes back down. The high-entropy end state is visually the simplest.
A real incompressible fluid, solved on the GPU. Each frame advects the velocity field along itself, adds vorticity confinement and the buoyancy of the density contrast, diffuses momentum at the chosen viscosity, and then projects the field to be divergence free by solving a pressure Poisson equation with Jacobi iteration. Only then is the cream carried through the flow. This is Jos Stam's stable-fluids scheme, and the projection step is what makes the filaments: a flow that is allowed to compress does not fold.
Cream is slightly denser than hot black coffee, so a layer of it resting on top is unstable and falls as a plume: that is a fresh pour, with no stirring at all. The walls are sealed, so the cream in the cup is conserved and the entropy axis means something fixed.
The same process, at three moments. The coarse-grained entropy climbs across them; the apparent complexity rises and then falls. The entropy figures below are the closed-form values the calibration checks the measurement pipeline against, so the prose and the numbers cannot drift apart.
layered: cream resting on coffee, just poured, every coarse cell internally pure.
entropy 0.00 bits, apparent complexity low
swirling: sheets and tendrils, coarse cells spanning the whole range of mixes.
entropy 0.61 bits, apparent complexity at its peak
uniform: fully mixed, every coarse cell sitting at a fifty-fifty blend.
entropy 1.00 bits, apparent complexity collapsed
Two dimensions, not three, so there is no vortex stretching and the turbulence is the wrong kind. Cream and coffee are one scalar field rather than two fluids with their own equations of state. Semi-Lagrangian transport is not conservative, so a global mass fixer restores the cream total after each step; without it the total wanders by more than ten percent and takes the entropy ceiling with it. Vorticity confinement injects energy rather than conserving it, which is why there is a drag term and a speed cap holding the Courant number below one.
The parameter sweep and the sensitivity tornado run the same solver headlessly on a much coarser grid, so they show the shape of a trend and not an absolute magnitude. All of this is listed, with what would falsify it, in the assumptions panel.
One last point Carroll makes: the second law does not forbid local order. The cup reaches equilibrium, but Earth does not, because it is an open system that takes in low-entropy sunlight and radiates high-entropy heat to space. Life lives on that flow.